On October 9, 2026, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (“CFTC”) took two coordinated actions addressing the scope of its jurisdiction over event contracts. First, it issued an interim final rule (the “Interim Final Rule”) codifying its longstanding position that gambling products, including wagers placed on sportsbook and casino games, are excluded from the “swap” definition. Second, it published a notice of proposed rulemaking (the “NPR”) that would further define “swap” to expressly include event contracts, including those based on sports-, politics-, cultural-, and weather-related events.
The Interim Final Rule adds a new paragraph (7) titled “Casino-style gambling products” to the “swap” definition in Section 1.3 of the Commodity Exchange Act (the “CEA”). The exclusion has two components:
- Provider Test. The product must be offered by a person licensed or otherwise authorized to offer gambling or gaming products, or to accept wagers, under state law or tribal law, acting within the scope of that license, and the product must be regulated as gaming or gambling under applicable state or tribal law.
- Product Test. The product must not be traded on a board of trade, an organized exchange, a swap execution facility, or any other market in which trades are executed multilaterally or subject to individual negotiation.
The Interim Final Rule expressly identifies sports wagers, casino games, and other licensed games of chance (such as bingo, pool wagering, lotteries, and raffles) as excluded. In distinguishing these products from event contracts, the CFTC emphasizes that gambling products are unilateral, priced by “the house,” not cleared, and historically subject to state regulation, whereas event contracts trade at market-set prices on a central orderbook and are centrally cleared. The CFTC also notes that the exclusion is non-exclusive and that a product failing the tests is not necessarily a swap.
The NPR would add a new paragraph (2)(i)(G) to the “swap” definition in Section 1.3 of the CEA covering “[e]vent contracts, including those based on sports-, politics-, cultural, and weather-related events.” The CFTC grounds the NPR in several independent bases. It views event contracts as “commonly known to the trade as a swap,” pointing to the thousands of event contracts that DCMs have self-certified to the Commission. It also views these as satisfying the prong covering events or contingencies “associated with a potential financial, economic, or commercial consequence,” stressing that the word “potential” is broad, and notes that many event contracts are structured as binary options on excluded commodities. Separately, the CFTC asserts that its express statutory authority to “further define” the term “swap” supplies an independent legal basis for this determination. The NPR would not reach casino-style gambling products, and the CFTC notes that it retains authority under Section 5c(c)(5)(C) of the CEA, which authorizes the CFTC to prohibit event contracts involving “gaming” that are “contrary to the public interest.”
Taken together, the Interim Final Rule and the NPR represent a coordinated effort to distinguish state-regulated gambling from federally regulated event contracts and to remove the argument that treating event contracts as swaps would federalize every sportsbook wager. The releases are the latest in a series of CFTC actions affecting the prediction markets, including the June 2026 proposed rulemaking discussed in our prior post. Read the CFTC’s press releases for the Interim Final Rule here and the Proposal here.

